[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 302245
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302245 
MOZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-010015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1560
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0545 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...KS/WRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 563...

VALID 302245Z - 010015Z

INSTABILITY AXIS NOW EXTENDS FROM MEDICINE LODGE TO NEAR TOPEKA
WHERE MLCAPE VALUES HAVE RISEN TO NEARLY 3000 J/KG. SFC BOUNDARY
NOTED ON WICHITA RADAR IS MOVING SWD...AND RECENTLY HELPED TRIGGER
SFC BASED STORMS EAST OF HUTCHINSON. ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
SOUTH OF BOUNDARY...AS BOTH VISIBLE SATELLITE LOOPS AND COMPOSITE
RADAR SHOW BOUNDARY LAYER ROLLS MOVING NWD INTO SCNTRL KS. THESE
STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTAIN LARGE HAIL AND/OR STRONG WIND GUSTS GIVEN
MODERATELY STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR.

FARTHER NORTH...ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE SYSTEM HAS HAD A HISTORY OF
LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE WIND GUSTS...WITH GOLFBALL HAIL RECENTLY
REPORTED IN SHAWNEE  COUNTY KS. UPSTREAM DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR ON
THE WRN SIDE OF THE SYSTEM TOWARD MANHATTAN...WHILE IT ALSO MOVES
SEWD ON THE ERN FLANK ALONG THE OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS
SCNTRL MO.

..TAYLOR.. 06/30/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...

36379747 36489930 38189898 39219608 39299385 38409347
37919412 36999587 

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