[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 301909
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301909 
MIZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-302045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1555
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0209 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN MI SWD ACROSS NRN/CENTRAL INDIANA AND EAST
CENTRAL IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 301909Z - 302045Z

MONITORING SWRN LOWER MI...NRN/CENTRAL INDIANA AND EAST CENTRAL IL 
FOR A POSSIBLE WW.

SKIES CLEARED BEHIND MORNING CONVECTION AND TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED
TO NEAR 90 DEGREES...RESULTING IN MLCAPES NEAR 2500 J/KG. SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM LAKE MI SWD INTO EXTREME NWRN INDIANA AND THEN
SWD INTO CENTRAL. CONVERGENCE ALONG THIS EWD MOVING TROUGH IS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS SPEED MAX IN IA SHIFTS EWD AND STRENGTHENS
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. ALTHOUGH AREA MAY STILL BE EXPERIENCING
SUBSIDENCE BEHIND MCS IN OH...EXPECT SURFACE BASED STORMS TO DEVELOP
 DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS CONVERGENCE INCREASES. ONCE
STORMS DEVELOP...WW WOULD LIKELY BE REQUIRED.

..IMY.. 06/30/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IWX...GRR...IND...PAH...LOT...ILX...

39488884 41198724 43008608 42898510 42088459 41578462
38188526 37918665 38548819 

WWWW