[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 262229
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262229 
KSZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-270030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1489
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0529 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN CO..SWRN KS...WRN OK PANHANDLE...NERN/ECENTRAL
NM

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 530...

VALID 262229Z - 270030Z

SVR THREAT WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF WW 530 THROUGH 00Z. THREAT FOR
LARGE HAIL WILL BE GREATEST OVER ECENTRAL NM...WITH DAMAGING WIND
THREAT HIGHEST OVER SERN CO/SWRN KS...WRN OK PANHANDLE AND NERN NM.

CONVECTION OVER NERN NM/SERN CO WAS MULTICELLULAR IN NATURE AND
GIVEN VEERED LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THE ACTIVITY THIS TREND SHOULD
CONTINUE. STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND DEVELOPING COLD POOL OVER
NERN NM WILL FAVOR DAMAGING WINDS AS THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS
CONVECTION. FARTHER SOUTH...LOW LEVEL FLOW REMAINS BACKED ENHANCING
DEEP LAYER SHEAR OVER ECENTRAL/SERN NM. ISOLATED SUPERCELL STORM
GUADALUPE COUNTY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SEWD INTO DE BACA COUNTY AND
OUT OF WW 530 IN THE NEXT HOUR. AN ADDITIONAL ISOLATED STG-SVR STORM
 MAY DEVELOP OFF THE SACRAMENTO MTNS EWD INTO WRN CHAVES COUNTY
THROUGH 00Z. DESPITE SOME SVR THREAT SOUTH OF WW 530...OVERALL
LIMITED SPATIAL THREAT DUE TO SLOW STORM MOTIONS SHOULD PRECLUDE A
NEW WW ISSUANCE. ADDITIONAL SVR STORM DEVELOPMENT REMAINS POSSIBLE
ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/DRY LINE INTERSECTION OVER SWRN PORTION OF WW
530 TO THE ESE OF ABQ /TORRANCE COUNTY/.

..CROSBIE.. 06/26/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

38320307 35060687 34800715 34810447 38330035 

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