[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 262030
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262030 
WYZ000-MTZ000-IDZ000-NVZ000-262230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1486
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0330 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN ID...SMALL PARTS OF WRN MT/WY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 262030Z - 262230Z

MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS MAY ACCOMPANY
STORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SRN/SERN ID...WRN MT AND WRN WY THROUGH THE
EVENING. A WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY BEING PLANNED.

STORMS HAVE BEEN INCREASING ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND BENEATH
MID LEVEL COLD POOL FROM SRN ID INTO WRN WY THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE
SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK...PERSISTENT
ASCENT WITHIN THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS...AND BOUNDARY LAYER
MIXING/DESTABILIZATION...WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE STRONG TO ISOLATED
SEVERE TSTMS. A FEW CELLS COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL GIVEN LOWER
FREEZING LEVELS UNDERNEATH THE COLD POOL. IN ADDITION...STORMS MAY
PRODUCE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AS ACTIVITY SPREADS OFF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AND INTO THE VALLEY LOCATIONS WHERE DRY SUB CLOUD LAYER IS
CHARACTERIZED BY SFC DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS AROUND 30F. A WATCH IS NOT
CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED FOR THIS WEAKLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION.

..CARBIN.. 06/26/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...RIW...TFX...SLC...PIH...MSO...BOI...LKN...

42141117 42101309 42021397 41981519 42131576 42511630
42791650 43311639 43701579 43951536 44691387 45111253
45081101 44351012 42671034 

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