[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 252103
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252102 
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-252230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1467
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0402 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ECENTRAL CO...WRN KS...SWRN NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 252102Z - 252230Z

ISOLATED SVR TSTMS OVER ECENTRAL/SERN CO WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
ENEWD INTO WRN KS AND EVENTUALLY SWRN NEB OVER THE NEXT 3 HOURS.

CONVECTION WAS INTENSIFYING OVER ECENTRAL/SERN CO AHEAD OF SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVING ACROSS NM. INSTABILITY AXIS EXTENDS SW-NE ACROSS
ECENTRAL CO INTO WCENTRAL/NWRN KS AND SWRN NEB. CONVECTION SHOULD
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ENEWD INTO THIS INSTABILITY AXIS...WITH MLCAPE
VALUES FROM 1000-1200 J/KG...WHILE MAINTAINING THREAT FOR ISOLATED
SVR/WIND HAIL. OVERALL EFFECTIVE SHEAR LESS THAN 30 KTS SHOULD LIMIT
UPDRAFT LONGEVITY AND A MORE ORGANIZED SVR THREAT.

..CROSBIE.. 06/25/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

40710144 40140265 39700328 39040325 38160284 37810261
37890169 38450113 38870084 39160059 39590051 40490079 

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