[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 251834
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251834 
WYZ000-MTZ000-IDZ000-UTZ000-252000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1461
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0134 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN ID AND SWRN MT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 251834Z - 252000Z

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF SERN ID/SWRN MT
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AND AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A
POSSIBLE WW.

HIGH LEVEL JET MAX LOCATED OVER ERN NV IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO SERN
ID LATE THIS AFTERNOON. CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FEATURE ACROSS UT AND STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP NWD ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS THE LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER JET
OVERSPREADS THE REGION. MLCAPES BETWEEN 1000-1500 J/KG AND 30-40 KT
DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE STORMS. DEEP MIXED
BOUNDARY LAYER SUGGESTS WIND WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT...THOUGH STEEP
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY INDICATES SOME
HAIL IS ALSO LIKELY.

..IMY.. 06/25/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...RIW...TFX...SLC...PIH...MSO...BOI...

45101558 46421497 47431438 47771303 47451142 45021100
42201095 41951221 42621475 

WWWW