[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 242102
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242102 
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-242230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1446
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0402 PM CDT FRI JUN 24 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/NCENTRAL KS...SWRN NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 242102Z - 242230Z

ISOLATED SVR STORMS WITH MAIN THREATS BEING DMMG WINDS/LARGE HAIL
WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.


VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS INCIPIENT CONVECTION WAS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP
ALONG OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/TROUGH ACROSS SWRN NEB SWWD INTO WCENTRAL
KS/ECENTRAL CO WHERE CONVERGENCE IS MAXIMIZED. STRENGTHENING TRENDS
ARE ANTICIPATED WITH CONVECTION DEVELOPING AS SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY
/MLCAPES AROUND 1500 J/KG/ AND LITTLE CINH REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA.
STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA AND THUS
CONVECTION WILL LIKELY REMAIN MULTICELLULAR IN NATURE. GIVEN HIGH
BASED NATURE OF CONVECTION AND VERY WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER
TROPOSPHERE...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS APPEAR TO BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.

..CROSBIE.. 06/24/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...

40430027 40450151 39730216 38560189 38230179 38200077
38819926 39299886 40159946 

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