[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 211616
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 211615 
SCZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-211815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1414
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1115 AM CDT TUE JUN 21 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN ALABAMA EWD TO SOUTH CAROLINA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 211615Z - 211815Z

COOL UPPER TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM WEAK UPPER LOW SWRN VA SWWD
ACROSS NRN GA INTO CENTRAL AL. HEATING OF THE MOIST AIR MASS S AND E
OF SRN APPALACHIANS  WILL QUICKLY ELIMINATE ANY CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION AND ALLOW THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP NEXT 1-2 HOURS.  WITH
MLCAPES INCREASING TO AROUND 1000 J/KG AND RELATIVELY COOL LAPSE
RATES...HAIL WILL BE COMMON WITH STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.  WHILE
OVERALL SHEAR IS MARGINAL FOR ANY ORGANIZED SEVERE
STORMS...THERMODYNAMICS WILL SUPPORT A FEW SEVERE HAIL EVENTS AND
BRIEF STRONG DOWNBURST.

ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW THRESHOLDS FOR WATCH ISSUANCE.

..HALES.. 06/21/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...BMX...HUN...

34008641 34338553 34308489 34348446 34568240 35008191
34988047 34748003 34217990 33438012 32658086 32158224
32098498 32638628 33238670 

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