[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 210402
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 210401 
NDZ000-MTZ000-210500-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1410
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1101 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN MT THROUGH WRN ND.

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 507...

VALID 210401Z - 210500Z

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 507 WILL BE REPLACED SOON BY ANOTHER WW
THAT WILL INCLUDE CNTRL THROUGH ERN MT INTO WRN ND. SEVERE STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST WITH SUPERCELLS LIKELY...POSSIBLY EVOLVING
INTO AN MCS LATER TONIGHT AND SPREADING EWD THROUGH THE NRN HIGH
PLAINS.

SEVERE WEATHER CONTINUES WITH ISOLATED SUPERCELLS OVER CNTRL AND NE
MT. STORMS MAY REMAIN ISOLATED FOR ANOTHER FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...THE
LOW LEVEL JET WILL VEER AND STRENGTHEN ACROSS ERN MT TONIGHT. THIS
WILL ENHANCE WARM ADVECTION AND LIFT IN THIS REGION AND SHOULD
CONTRIBUTE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL STORMS. SETUP APPEARS
FAVORABLE FOR STORMS TO EVENTUALLY ORGANIZE INTO AN MCS AND SPREAD
ESEWD ALONG THE INSTABILITY GRADIENT THROUGH ERN MT AND INTO WRN ND.
STRONG MUCAPE AND VERTICAL SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED
STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND EVENTUALLY BOW ECHOES WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND LIKELY.

..DIAL.. 06/21/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BIS...BYZ...GGW...TFX...

46200359 46420659 46460938 47241025 48090930 48880657
48690348 47350259 

WWWW