[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 191738
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191737 
SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-191930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1389
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1237 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN SC...SE GA...FAR NRN FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 191737Z - 191930Z

SCATTERED STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS SRN SC
AND ERN GA. THE STRONGER CELLS WILL HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AND/OR
WIND DAMAGE. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN TOO ISOLATED/MARGINAL
TO WARRANT A WW ATTM.

STORMS ARE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ALONG A SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY MOVING
INLAND ACROSS SRN SC AND SERN GA. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN
UPPER-LOW OVER SC WITH A STRONG VORTICITY MAXIMA MOVING SWD AROUND
THE LOW. THE ASCENT WITH THIS FEATURE WILL SUPPORT THE CONTINUED
DEVELOPMENT OF STORMS ALONG THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY AND INLAND
ACROSS GA AND SC THIS AFTERNOON. THE AIRMASS HAS RELATIVELY HIGH
MOISTURE CONTENT WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S F AND LOWER 70S
RESULTING MODERATE INSTABILITY. THIS COMBINED WITH 30 TO 40 KT OF
DEEP LAYER SHEAR AS SHOWN ON OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS...SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT WITH HAIL AND/OR WIND
DAMAGE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER CELLS.

..BROYLES.. 06/19/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

30228200 30718320 31608326 33128106 32818028 32338057
31308139 

WWWW