[MCD] SWOMCD

MCD at goshenarc.org MCD at goshenarc.org
Tue Jun 14 19:59:36 UTC 2005


ACUS11 KWNS 142009
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142009 
PAZ000-MDZ000-NYZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-142145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1349
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0309 PM CDT TUE JUN 14 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN PA...ERN OH...WV

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 480...

VALID 142009Z - 142145Z

LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE WILL BE LIKELY WITH THE STRONGER
CELLS EMBEDDED IN A LINE OF STORMS AS IT MOVES EWD INTO WRN PA AND
WV OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A NEW WW WILL BE ISSUED EAST OF WW 480
WITHIN THE HOUR.

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS IS ONGOING ALONG AN AXIS OF
INSTABILITY WHICH RUNS SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST EXTENDING FROM KY TO
OH. AT MID-LEVELS...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER LOW/TROUGH
PRESENT OVER WRN WI WITH A BAND OF STRONG VERTICAL ASCENT MOVING EWD
ACROSS OH AND KY. THIS COMBINED WITH THE INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP THE
LINE GOING INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS PA AND WV. THE EXIT REGION
OF A 60 KT MID-LEVEL JET IS LOCATED ACROSS THE REGION...PROVIDING
MODERATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO BE FAVORABLE FOR
SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS. WIND DAMAGE WILL BE LIKELY WITH BOWING
SEGMENTS EMBEDDED IN THE LINE. HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGER CELLS.

..BROYLES.. 06/14/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...RNK...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...

37598191 38238299 39278236 40988150 41868066 42147972
41827866 41447841 40847836 38138029 37668087 

WWWW





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