[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 140324
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140324 
OHZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-140530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1342
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1024 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN IND...SRN MI...NW OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 479...

VALID 140324Z - 140530Z

SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING...AND WW LIKELY WILL BE
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 04Z.

STRONG LOW/MID-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION AND DIVERGENT UPPER FLOW FIELD
...DOWNSTREAM OF CLOSED LOW LIFTING NORTHEAST OF THE MID MISSOURI
VALLEY...WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS NORTHERN INDIANA INTO THE
VICINITY OF LAKE ERIE BY 06-09Z.  DESTABILIZATION LIKELY WILL REMAIN
SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT CONTINUING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.  HOWEVER...
WESTERLY COMPONENT TO LOW-LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF SURFACE COLD POOL IS
REDUCING CONVERGENCE ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.  COUPLED WITH ONSET OF
SURFACE COOLING...FURTHER SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS LIKELY TO BECOME
LIMITED TO ISOLATED LARGE...PERHAPS VERY LOCALIZED/MARGINALLY SEVERE
WIND GUSTS.

..KERR.. 06/14/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...IWX...IND...ILX...

39828657 40548636 41178650 41708595 41668459 41168385
40508359 39898374 39378438 39158646 38648774 

WWWW