[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 140035
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140035 
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-140230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1337
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0735 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OK...SRN INTO E CNTRL MO...NW AR

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 473...

VALID 140035Z - 140230Z

DAMAGING WIND/HAIL THREAT WILL CONTINUE ANOTHER FEW HOURS.

AIR MASS REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE ALONG LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE AXIS
IN WAKE OF SEVERE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM NOW SHIFTING EAST OF
THE ST. LOUIS AREA.  THIS EXTENDS ROUGHLY ALONG/SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
44 INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND IS FOCUS FOR INCREASING CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI.  ACTIVITY IS BEING
SUPPORTED BY BAND OF FORCING ON SOUTHERN/EASTERN PERIPHERY OF MID
MISSOURI VALLEY CLOSED LOW...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT OUT OF
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA/SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY THIS EVENING.

STORMS SHOULD DIMINISH ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA BY 03Z...BUT WILL
PERSIST IN SLOWLY EASTWARD MOVING BAND ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI
AND PARTS OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING.
 AFTER 04Z...STABILIZATION OF BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS THE OZARKS/MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION MAY CONTRIBUTE TO DIMINISHING SEVERE
THREAT.

..KERR.. 06/14/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...

35749574 36549489 37249391 38009225 38319137 37989061
37389025 36669057 36159207 35899295 34979399 34649506
35189596 

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