[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 132241
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132241 
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-140045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1333
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0541 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NW TX...EAST NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SW MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 132241Z - 140045Z

CONTINUE TORNADO WW 473 AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WW 477.

BAND OF FORCING ON SOUTHERN/SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF CLOSED LOW HAS
BEEN ENOUGH TO SUPPORT RAPID INTENSE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT PAST FEW
HOURS. ACTIVITY APPEARS FOCUSED ALONG LOW-LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE AXIS
...WHERE SURFACE DEW POINTS NEAR 70F AND STEEP LAPSE RATES HAVE
CONTRIBUTED TO VERY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MIXED LAYER CAPE TO
4000 J/KG.  MODERATE CYCLONIC MID-LEVEL FLOW IS CONTRIBUTING TO
ADEQUATE SHEAR PROFILES FOR SUPERCELLS...WITH VERY LARGE HAIL...
PERHAPS ISOLATED TORNADOES...NEXT HOUR OR TWO. THERMODYNAMIC
PROFILES ALSO FAVOR STRONG EVAPORATIVE COOLING NEAR HEAVY RAIN
CORES...AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH ISOLATED
DOWNBURSTS/SURGING OUTFLOWS SHOULD INCREASE THROUGH 00-02Z.

..KERR.. 06/13/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...

33500005 34509820 35369686 36209533 36899403 36469349
35849393 34639520 33319794 32939934 

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