[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 122310
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 122309 
KSZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-130045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1317
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0609 PM CDT SUN JUN 12 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 466...

VALID 122309Z - 130045Z

LATEST WATER VAPOR LOOPS AND PROFILER DATA INDICATE MID LEVEL TROUGH
FROM JUST SW OF CVS NWWD TO NEAR COS WITH ANOTHER VORTICITY LOBE
MOVING OVER THE CNTRL CO MTNS. INITIALLY SUPERCELLS DEVELOPED ACROSS
SE CO IN ZONE OF ASCENT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH...BUT LATEST RADAR SHOW
CONVECTION HAS ORGANIZED INTO A LINE IN SW KS. CHARACTER OF CLOUDS
NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IS REPRESENTATIVE OF THE STRONG
INHIBITION TO SFC BASED PARCELS EAST OF THE ONGOING LINE OF STORMS.
WHILE STORMS MAY BE MAINTAINED INTO PORTIONS OF WCNTRL KS VIS
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET TONIGHT...THEY SHOULD HAVE A TENDENCY TO
BECOME ELEVATED.

REGARDING AREAS IN ERN CO WITHIN WW 466...SVR THREAT IS DIMINISHING.
STORMS HAVE ALMOST EXITED NE CO...AND THE STORMS DEVELOPING FROM ITR
TO LAA ARE FORMING IN THE COOLER OUTFLOW AIR. THIS SHOULD LIMIT
SEVERE THREAT...AND IT MAY BE POSSIBLE TO CANCEL WW 466 PRIOR TO
02Z.

..TAYLOR.. 06/12/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...GLD...PUB...

37150219 38150323 39560258 39320042 38629952 37349950
36999946