[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 112204
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112204 
WIZ000-MNZ000-112330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1298
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0504 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NW WI/ERN MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 459...

VALID 112204Z - 112330Z

...ISOLD SHORT TERM THREAT FOR SVR TSTMS ALONG AND NORTH OF WARM
FRONT BUT OVERALL THREAT SEEMS TO BE DIMINISHING WITHIN WW 459 AND
IT MAY BE CANCELLED EARLY...

SFC WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SW OF FARGO THROUGH
CNTRL MN/NRN WI FROM NEAR AXN TO RPD. LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS
MAJORITY OF SVR STORMS NOW MOVING INTO WRN PORTIONS OF WW 461...WITH
THE EXCEPTION BEING A COUPLE CELLS SW OF DULUTH. THESE STORMS HAVE
HAD A HISTORY OF LOW LEVEL MESOS/TORNADOES...BUT AS THEY MOVE NORTH
OF THE BOUNDARY AND INTERACT WITH COOL STABLE LAKE BREEZE INVOF
SUPERIOR...THEY WILL WEAKEN. FARTHER SOUTH OVER SRN WI...WHILE ISOLD
SVR WX IS POSSIBLE...THE MAIN FORCING WILL BE FOCUSED ACROSS NRN MN
AND THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO POSE A LONG TERM SVR THREAT.
THEREFORE...WW 459 MAY BE CANCELLED BEFORE ITS EXPIRATION TIME OF
00Z.

..TAYLOR.. 06/11/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...

45769082 45809337 46439339 46689218 46669107 46099026
45889029 

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