[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 092328
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092328 
OKZ000-TXZ000-100100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1267
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0628 PM CDT THU JUN 09 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...TX PANHANDLE SWD ACROSS THE TRANSPECOS REGION OF W
TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 443...

VALID 092328Z - 100100Z

STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG DRYLINE / WITHIN WRN HALF OF WW.

LATEST VISIBLE / RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS STORMS CONTINUING TO DEVELOP
WITHIN ZONE OF LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE INVOF DRYLINE NOW EXTENDING
FROM NEAR AMA SWD TO NEAR FST. AIRMASS E OF DRYLINE REMAINS MOIST /
UNSTABLE...WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S AND MEAN-LAYER
CAPE EXCEEDING 3000 J/KG.

ALONG WITH FAVORABLY MOIST / UNSTABLE AIRMASS...SELY SURFACE WINDS
NEAR 20 KT VEER TO VEER TO WSWLY AT 40 KT AT MID-LEVELS...RESULTING
IN FAVORABLY-SHEARED ENVIRONMENT FOR SUPERCELLS AND ASSOCIATED
SEVERE / TORNADO THREAT.  EXPECT SEVERE THREAT TO PERSIST -- AND
PERHAPS INCREASE WITH TIME...AS INTENSIFYING LOW-LEVEL JET MAY
RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN SFC-1 KM SHEAR...POSSIBLY ENHANCING TORNADO
POTENTIAL.

..GOSS.. 06/09/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

35500195 35509949 30230088 30250343 

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