[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 092230
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092230 
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-100000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1266
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0530 PM CDT THU JUN 09 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN CO...SWRN NEB PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 092230Z - 100000Z

TSTMS DEVELOPING OVER THE FRONT RANGE OF NRN CO SHOULD CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY AS THEY MOVE INTO THE HIGH PLAINS OF NERN CO/SWRN NEB
PANHANDLE DURING THE NEXT 2-4 HOURS. WW WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR
PORTIONS OF NERN CO/SWRN NEB PANHANDLE SHORTLY.

LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY
/MLCAPES FROM 1000-2000 J/KG/ EXTENDING WWD FROM SWRN NEB/NWRN KS
INTO NERN CO ON THE NORTH SIDE OF SFC LOW OVER WCENTRAL KS.
PLATTEVILLE PROFILER SHOWS MODERATE SWLY MID LEVEL WINDS FIELDS ATOP
NELY LOW LEVEL FLOW SUPPORTING AROUND 50 KTS OF CLOUD LAYER SHEAR
OVER NERN CO MORE THAN AMPLE FOR SUPERCELL TYPE STORMS. LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME MORE LIKELY AS CONVECTION CONTINUES
TO ENCOUNTER BETTER INSTABILITY OVER THE HIGH PLAINS OVER NERN
CO/SWRN NEB PANHANDLE. ISOLATED TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL EXIST AS
STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE GIVEN NELY SFC WIND
FIELDS.

..CROSBIE.. 06/09/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...

41180234 41330315 41020406 40660462 40270459 39500411
39130341 39150190