[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 050301
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050301 
TXZ000-050400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1170
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1001 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SCNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 050301Z - 050400Z

TSTMS THAT EVOLVED FROM A COMPLEX OF MEXICAN PLATEAU STORMS HAVE
SURVIVED LONGER THAN ANTICIPATED AND HAVE MOVED/DEVELOPED INTO
SCNTRL TX THIS EVENING.  THEY APPEAR TO BE THRIVING ON THE DIURNAL
INCREASE IN THE 925-850 MB JET CONTAINING UNSTABLE PARCELS.  DEL RIO
VWP SHOWS A VEERING/WARM ADVECTION PATTERN...WITH WEAKNESS IN THE
FLOW BETWEEN 2-5KM.  THIS SUGGESTS THE STORMS MAY ORGANIZE
BRIEFLY...BUT LIKELY NOT THRIVE FOR A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF TIME. 
DURING THEIR PEAK...HOWEVER...LARGE HAIL OR A DAMAGING WIND GUST MAY
RESULT.

ATTM...THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN ISOLD ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE A
WEATHER WATCH.

..RACY.. 06/05/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...BRO...

28060012 28969983 29149809 28169764 27269909