[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 050218
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050218 
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-050345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1168
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0918 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SERN NEB...NERN KS...EXTREME SRN IA AND
NWRN MO

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 391...

VALID 050218Z - 050345Z

DEEP LAYER SHEAR CONTINUES TO BE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS AND SHOULD
INCREASE AS UPSTREAM MID-LEVEL WAVE TURNS TOWARD THE UPPER MS VLY
LATER TONIGHT. ON THE MESOSCALE...E-W BAND OF TSTMS THAT FORMED
LATE IN THE AFTN HAVE GENERATED A COLD POOL WITH THE MAJORITY OF THE
STORMS ACROSS NWRN/NCNTRL MO LIKELY ELEVATED.  

N-S ORIENTED BAND OF STORMS ACROSS ERN KS IS BEING AUGMENTED BY
BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS WITH THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS LINE IS
APT TO BECOME MORE ACTIVE THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  DOWNSTREAM
AIR MASS IS VERY MOIST AND LOCALIZED BACKED LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL
MAINTAIN AT LEAST AN ISOLD TORNADO THREAT...PARTICULARLY ACROSS
ECNTRL KS AND WCNTRL MO.  THE MAIN SEVERE THREATS... 
HOWEVER...SHOULD TRANSITION INTO DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL AS
THE STORMS MOVE ENEWD INTO WRN/NRN MO.

TORNADO WATCH 391 EXPIRES AT 04Z...BUT READJUSTMENTS AND EXTENSIONS
ARE LIKELY OVER PARTS OF THE AREA.

..RACY.. 06/05/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...

38289618 40709617 41169266 38639254 

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