[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 041131
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041131 
MOZ000-KSZ000-041300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1151
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0631 AM CDT SAT JUN 04 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NW MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 041131Z - 041300Z

AN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE/TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS WITH STORMS ACROSS WRN MO. THE AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A
POSSIBLE WW.

SFC ANALYSIS CURRENTLY SHOWS A WARM FRONT LOCATED FROM NRN OK
EXTENDING NEWD ACROSS WRN AND CNTRL MO. A LINE OF STORMS IS ONGOING
ALONG THE WARM FRONT WHERE LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS MAXIMIZED AND
THE LOW-LEVEL JET IS LOCATED. IN ADDITION...A MID-LEVEL JET EXTENDS
FROM WSW TO ENE FROM SRN KS ACROSS MO WHICH IS ENHANCING VERTICAL
SHEAR NEAR THE LINE. THE SHEAR (0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES OF 40 TO 50 KT)
WILL CONTINUE TO BE SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS
SHOWS A WEAK CAPPING INVERSION IN PLACE MAY CAUSE THE STORMS TO BE
SLIGHTLY ELEVATED. THE SHOULD MAKE THE MAIN THREAT WITH THE
CONVECTION ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL. HOWEVER...A FEW STORMS
THAT ROTATE MAY HAVE A BRIEF TORNADO POTENTIAL OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR
SO.

..BROYLES.. 06/04/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...

40249327 39009465 38549463 38009428 38529361 39479251
39879256 

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