[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 032214
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032213 
TXZ000-032345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1145
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0513 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 032213Z - 032345Z

PARTS OF CNTRL TX COULD SEE AN INCREASE IN THE TORNADO POTENTIAL
THIS EVENING.

TSTMS CONTINUE TO EVOLVE ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY OVER ERN CORYELL
COUNTY...AND THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT THE STORMS MAY BE
BACKBUILDING SSWWD INTO AREAS N OF KAUS.  THE INFLOW LAYER OF THE
STORMS IS VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AND STORMS WILL HAVE PLENTY OF
POTENTIAL INSTABILITY TO FEED ON THROUGH THE EVENING.  PROFILERS
SHOW AT LEAST 35 KTS OF H5 FLOW ATOP SELY FLOW 10-15KT... SUFFICIENT
FOR SUPERCELLS...ESPECIALLY GIVEN AVAILABLE CAPE.  THE HEARNE
OBSERVATION SITE SHOWED A BRIEF PERIOD OF ENELY FLOW AND THERE MAY
BE ADJUSTMENTS ONGOING IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER AHEAD OF THE STORMS
DEVELOPING FARTHER W.  THIS COULD AUGMENT THE LOW-LEVEL HELICITY TO
SUPPORT A TORNADO OR TWO...ESPECIALLY IF THE STORMS MOVE OFF THE
BOUNDARY AND MOVE SSEWD.  OTHERWISE...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
CAN BE EXPECTED.

ADJUSTMENTS/POSSIBLE UPGRADES TO THE SEVERE TSTM WATCH 384 MAY BE
REQUIRED THIS EVENING.

..RACY.. 06/03/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...

29429934 31099810 32009690 31969544 31239537 30259625
29349732 

WWWW