[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 032023
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032023 
OKZ000-TXZ000-032230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1143
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0323 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NW TX INTO CNTRL OK

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 385...

VALID 032023Z - 032230Z

CONTINUE WW.  SUPERCELLS APPEAR LIKELY TO DEVELOP WEST SOUTHWEST OF
WICHITA FALLS WITHIN NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

CONVECTIVE LINE CONTINUES TO EVOLVE...ASSOCIATED WITH ZONE OF
STRONGER DIFFERENTIAL POSITIVE VORTICITY ADVECTION EAST OF CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE.  DAMAGING WIND/HAIL
THREAT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH THIS
ACTIVITY AS IT ROTATES NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD NORTH CENTRAL/CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA.

LINE WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP SOUTHWESTWARD INTO NORTHWEST TEXAS
NEXT FEW HOURS.  NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS ALREADY EVIDENT
SOUTHEAST OF CHILDRESS...WHERE AIR MASS CONTINUES TO RECOVER IN WAKE
OF EARLIER CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.  MIXED LAYER CAPE LIKELY WILL
APPROACH 2000 J/KG...NEAR/SOUTHWEST OF WICHITA FALLS...SHORTLY.  AS
40+ KT CYCLONIC MID-LEVEL FLOW VEERS TO WESTERLY AHEAD OF DRY LINE
ACROSS NORTHWEST TEXAS...SHEAR PROFILES WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS ON SOUTHERN FLANK OF DEVELOPING CONVECTIVE
LINE. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY...IN
ADDITION TO RISK FOR VERY LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

..KERR.. 06/03/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...

34439952 35159928 35829943 35959881 35169752 33759757
33059830 32919936 33180002 33680013 

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