[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 030414
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030414 
TXZ000-NMZ000-030545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1132
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1114 PM CDT THU JUN 02 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN/WCNTRL TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 379...

VALID 030414Z - 030545Z

IMPRESSIVE DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 60S HAVE REACHED EXTREME SERN NM
AND THE SW TX MOUNTAINS THIS EVENING...RESULTING IN STRONG
INSTABILITY.  MID-LEVEL CONVECTION THAT HAS PERCOLATED MOST OF THE
EVENING HAS CLEARLY ROOTED INTO THIS INSTABILITY WITH STRONG- SEVERE
TSTMS ALSO EVOLVING WEST OF WINK.  COOLING CLOUD TOPS WERE ALSO
NOTED EAST OF THE BIG BEND REGION.

TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OVER
A LARGE PART OF SWRN TX...EVENTUALLY SPREADING NEWD INTO THE S
PLAINS AND TOWARD THE SAN ANGELO AREA LATER TONIGHT.  AS THE
STRONGER FORCING SPREADS EWD...TSTMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP INTO
SEVERAL SHORT LINE SEGMENTS. IN THE SHORT TERM...CELLS THAT REMAIN
DISCRETE THE LONGEST WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES
ACROSS SWRN TX.  OTHERWISE...VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL
BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS AS THE STORMS MOVE NEWD OVERNIGHT.

AS THE TSTMS DEVELOP NEWD...ANOTHER WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED
TOWARD THE LUBBOCK AREA.

..RACY.. 06/03/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...

29490445 32900399 33090227 33020096 33009999 29400090 

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