[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 010229
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010229 
FLZ000-010430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1096
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0929 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN AND CNTRL FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 010229Z - 010430Z

TORNADO/DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL MAY BE ON THE INCREASE ACROSS PARTS
OF CNTRL AND WRN FL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A WATCH MAY BE ISSUED
SHORTLY.

OFFSHORE MCS WAS MOVING EAST WITH WARM FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
SITUATED FROM NORTH OF TPA/TBW AREA NEWD ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE
PENINSULA. STORMS APPEARS TO BE INCREASING WITHIN VERY MOIST AND
MODESTLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS AS UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GULF MOVES
SLOWLY EAST. LATEST VWP FROM TBW WAS SHOWING STRENGTHENING FLOW AND
BACKED WINDS IN THE LOWEST LEVELS WITH 0-1KM SRH IN EXCESS OF 200
M2/S2 BASED ON LATEST CELL MOTIONS. THIS ENVIRONMENT APPEARS
FAVORABLE FOR BRIEF TORNADOES AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS AS STORMS
MOVE ASHORE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

..CARBIN.. 06/01/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

27308208 27068242 27828285 29158241 29748141 29438116
28888133 

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