[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 010215
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010215 
TXZ000-010345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1095
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0915 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 010215Z - 010345Z

A NEW SEVERE TSTM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SHORTLY ACROSS THE DFW METRO
AREA TO THE SOUTH OF SEVERE TSTM WATCH 363 AND TO THE EAST OF
TORNADO WATCH 364.

LONG-TRACK BOWING MCS APPEARS TO BE CONSOLIDATING ACROSS KNOX...
HASKELL...STONEWALL...AND KENT COUNTIES IN NWRN TX. THIS COMPLEX WAS
DEVELOPING ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF MATURE CONVECTIVE COLD POOL
WITH 40KT MID LEVEL WIND MAX DIRECTED INTO THE BACK OF THE BOW.
DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS WAS MOIST AND MODESTLY UNSTABLE WITH EVENING FWD
RAOB INDICATING LITTLE IN THE WAY OF INHIBITION/CAP. ADDITIONALLY...
LOW LEVEL ELY INFLOW AND LARGER SCALE FRONTOGENETIC FORCING
OVERLAYING THE REGION WILL SUPPORT THE STORM COMPLEX DEVELOPING SEWD
ALONG THE NW-SW INSTABILITY GRADIENT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM AND A NEW
SEVERE TSTM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED WITHIN THE HOUR.

..CARBIN.. 06/01/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...

31849891 33489892 33509792 33509659 31879659 

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