[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 282048
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282047 
WIZ000-MNZ000-282245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1896
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0347 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SE/SCNTRL MN AND WRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 282047Z - 282245Z

POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR ISOLD LARGE HAIL AND A FEW DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS THROUGH EARLY EVENING ACROSS SE MN/WRN WI. A SEVERE WATCH IS
NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...ALTHOUGH TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED. 

TSTMS ALREADY ONGOING ACROSS NW WI ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. WHERE
CU FIELD IS ALREADY AGITATED...ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS SW ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO SCNTRL/SE
MN AND WCNTRL WI. ALTHOUGH OVERALL BUOYANCY IS MARGINAL PER LATEST
RUC SOUNDINGS/TAMDAR DATA...MODEST INSOLATION/HEATING COMBINED WITH
COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /-12C TO -16C AT 500 MB/ WILL CONTRIBUTE
TO POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD LARGE HAIL REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON WITH
THE STRONGEST STORMS. RELATIVELY STRONG/UNIDIRECTIONAL AMBIENT WIND
FIELDS PER BLUE RIVER WI PROFILER/AREA WSR-88D VWPS WILL LEAD TO
ORGANIZED/SE MOVING MULTICELL CLUSTERS...WITH POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. MARGINAL NATURE OF THREAT
WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE A WW ISSUANCE.

..GUYER.. 07/28/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...DLH...ARX...MPX...

43759444 44329429 45299279 45809017 45468977 44688981
43709112 43549342 

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