[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 260631
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260631 
MIZ000-260800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1877
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0131 AM CDT TUE JUL 26 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND SRN LOWER MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 685...

VALID 260631Z - 260800Z

THREAT FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL PERSIST MAINLY OVER CNTRL
LOWER MI NEXT FEW HOURS WITH DAMAGING WIND THE MAIN THREAT. TRENDS
WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE SEVERE THREAT OVER PARTS OF SERN
LOWER MI LATER THIS MORNING.

A SQUALL LINE CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM CNTRL LOWER MI SWWD INTO S
CNTRL LAKE MI MOVING EWD AT 35 TO 40 KT. RESERVOIR OF STRONGEST
INSTABILITY REMAINS OVER WRN AND SWRN LOWER MI WITH LESS UNSTABLE
AIR PRESENT OVER ERN LOWER MI. HOWEVER....A STRONG WSWLY LOW LEVEL
JET WILL PERSIST...CONTRIBUTING TO WARM ADVECTION AND EWD
DESTABILIZATION NEXT FEW HOURS. THIS SUGGESTS WITH TIME...THE
STRONGER STORMS MAY BE ABLE TO MAINTAIN THEIR INTENSITY FARTHER EAST
INTO PARTS OF SERN LOWER MI. KINEMATIC PROFILES AND LINEAR
ORGANIZATION OF STORMS MAY CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT FOR ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND NEXT FEW HOURS.

..DIAL.. 07/26/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...GRR...

42428414 43428433 44168372 43678289 42768265 

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