[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 241931
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241930 COR
SDZ000-NDZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-242115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1847
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN ND / NWRN SD / EXTREME NERN WY AND SERN MT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 241930Z - 242115Z

STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON...WITH LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY THREAT. A WW COULD BE
REQUIRED LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES CU FIELD INCREASING WITH ISOLATED STORMS
NOW OVER SWRN ND WITHIN WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH. STEEP LOW TO MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND WEAK WIND PROFILES BELOW 500 MB SUGGEST
RELATIVELY SHORT LIVED STORMS WITH MAXIMUM HAIL DIAMETERS UP TO 1.50
INCHES POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...SHEAR PROFILES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE
LATER TODAY...WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELLS. GIVEN
DECREASING BOUNDARY LAYER RH CHARACTERIZED BY DEEP MIXING
LAYERS...ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS MAY ALSO OCCUR.

..JEWELL.. 07/24/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ABR...BIS...UNR...BYZ...

45690018 43830137 43860387 45450469 46430424 46770378
47090201 47160061 

WWWW