[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 240959
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240959 
OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-WIZ000-241130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1843
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0459 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME NERN WI THROUGH LOWER MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 667...668...

VALID 240959Z - 241130Z

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 667 WILL EXPIRE AT 11Z. THE SEVERE STORMS
WILL HAVE MOVED SEWD BEYOND NERN WI AFTER ANOTHER HOUR OR SO. STORMS
WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING AND MOVING SEWD THROUGH LOWER MI AND WW 668
WITH A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
STRONGER STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY DEVELOP SWD INTO SRN LOWER MI LATER
THIS MORNING...AND THIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A
POSSIBLE WW.

LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG WSWLY LOW LEVEL JET CONTINUES TO
PROMOTE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ON THE COOL SIDE OF A WARM FRONT
THAT EXTENDS FROM NRN WI SEWD THROUGH SWRN LOWER MI. FEED OF HIGHER
THETA-E AIR IS PRESENTLY OVER WRN AND NRN LOWER MI. HOWEVER...AS THE
LOW LEVEL JET CONTINUES TO VEER TO WLY...DESTABILIZATION INTO SRN
LOWER MI IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING. FURTHER DESTABILIZATION WILL
LIKELY OCCUR FROM SRN LOWER MI INTO NWRN OH AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
BEGINS TO WARM WITH THE ONSET OF SUNRISE. NWLY MID LEVEL FLOW WILL
CONTINUE TO PROMOTE SEWD MOVEMENT ALONG THE NW-SE ORIENTED
INSTABILITY GRADIENT. RECENT TRENDS IN RADAR SHOW SOME STORMS HAVE
BECOME FORWARD PROPAGATING WITH BOW ECHO STRUCTURES.

..DIAL.. 07/24/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...APX...IWX...GRR...MQT...GRB...

41208489 43738659 45728920 46328790 44598379 41608255 

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