[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 220621
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 220620 
OHZ000-KYZ000-220745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1824
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0120 AM CDT FRI JUL 22 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN OH THROUGH NRN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 660...

VALID 220620Z - 220745Z

THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND MAY CONTINUE ANOTHER COUPLE OF
HOURS AS STORMS MOVE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF WW 660. ACTIVITY
SHOULD CONTINUE AN OVERALL WEAKENING TREND AS IT MOVES SEWD...AND
ANOTHER WW DOWNSTREAM FROM ONGOING STORMS IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

EARLY THIS MORNING A LINE OF STORMS EXTENDS FROM EXTREME SWRN OH
SWWD THROUGH NRN KY MOVING SEWD AT 25 KT. ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE
SEWD ALONG INSTABILITY GRADIENT NEXT COUPLE HOURS...SUPPORTED BY
CONVERGENCE ALONG LEADING GUST FRONT. LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOW THE
GUST FRONT SURGING AHEAD OF THE CONVECTION...AND AS STORM MOVE
SEWD...THEY WILL ENCOUNTER WEAKER FLOW ALOFT. THESE TRENDS IN
ADDITION TO THE STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER SUGGEST STORMS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN WITH TIME. NEVERTHELESS...THE STRONGER STORMS
WITHIN THE LINE MAY REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED STRONG TO
DAMAGING WIND THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.

..DIAL.. 07/22/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JKL...ILN...LMK...

37798640 38258502 39258427 39988449 39588354 38318372
37158533 

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