[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 102326
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102324 
NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-110130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1722
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0624 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NEB PANHANDLE/FAR NE CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 102324Z - 110130Z

POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ISOLD STRONG WIND GUSTS/PULSE-TYPE LARGE HAIL
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SEVERE WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

ON SRN PERIPHERY OF NRN HIGH PLAINS SHORTWAVE IMPULSE...IN PRESENCE
OF HOT/WELL-MIXED AIRMASS...TSTMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
CNTRL HIGH PLAINS OF SE WY/NEB PANHANDLE INTO FAR NE CO. AMBIENT
AIRMASS CHARACTERIZED BY MODERATE INSTABILITY...WITH LATEST RUC
SOUNDINGS/MODIFIED 12Z LBF RAOB SUGGESTING AS MUCH AS 1500-2000 J/KG
MLCAPE EXISTS ACROSS THE NEB PANHANDLE INTO EXTREME NE CO. ALTHOUGH
MID LEVEL WLYS ARE WEAK...SELY WINDS IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER AHEAD OF
FRONTAL BOUNDARY ARE CONTRIBUTING TO VERTICAL SHEAR PERHAPS AS HIGH
AS 20-25 KTS. DEEPLY MIXED AIRMASS WITH DCAPE OF 1200-1500 J/KG
SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR STRONG DOWNDRAFTS/ISOLD DAMAGING GUSTS OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. PULSE-TYPE LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL.
LARGELY DIURNALLY ENHANCED...THREAT WILL LIKELY DIMINISH AROUND/SOON
AFTER SUNSET.

..GUYER.. 07/10/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...

42830328 42850162 42010128 40050234 39980304 41160412
41740428 42610430 

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