[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 061648
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061648 
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-061815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1672
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1148 AM CDT WED JUL 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN INTO E-CNTRL AL AND W-CNTRL/SWRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 061648Z - 061815Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES APPEARS TO BE INCREASING ACROSS
AREA AND WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY PRIOR TO 18Z.

LATEST MESOANALYSIS SHOWS REMNANT CINDY CIRCULATION N OF MOB AND W
OF GZH WITH ATTENDANT WARM FRONT/DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ZONE FROM THIS
LOW E THROUGH DHN AND THEN NEWD TO S OF MCN. A VERY MOIST BOUNDARY
LAYER COUPLED WITH FILTERED SUNSHINE HAVE ALLOWED AIR MASS TO BECOME
MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH SBCAPES OF 1000-2000 J/KG. LOCAL VWPS FROM
EGLIN AFB...FT. RUCKER AND MAXWELL AFB INDICATE RATHER STRONG
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PERSISTING E OF THE LOW WITH 0-1 KM SRH OF 150-250
M2/S2. 

APPEARS GREATEST THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL EXIST WITH MINI
SUPERCELLS AS THEY CROSS WARM FRONT WHERE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE
MAXIMIZED.

..MEAD.. 07/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

31218731 32158747 32978565 33328475 33068394 31658384
30898560 

WWWW