[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 031139
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031139 
MNZ000-WIZ000-IAZ000-031245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1612
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0639 AM CDT SUN JUL 03 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CENTRAL/SRN MN AND FAR WEST CENTRAL WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 586...

VALID 031139Z - 031245Z

CONTINUE VALID PORTION OF WW 586.  NEW WW MAY BE ISSUED FOR PARTS OF
NRN IA.

SEVERE THREAT ACROSS SRN MN AND FAR NRN IA WILL CONTINUE TO
TRANSITION INTO ONE OF ELEVATED STORMS ALONG/JUST N OF SRN PORTION
OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WHICH EXTENDED FROM FAR EAST CENTRAL MN SWWD TO
NORTH CENTRAL AND NWRN IA.  THIS TREND APPEARS TO BE VERIFIED BY
STRONGEST STORMS NOW LOCATED OVER SRN MN AND NRN IA...WITH NEW
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS NWRN-NRN IA AS THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
MOVES SWD.  AREA VAD/WIND PROFILER DATA INDICATED A 50 KT SWLY LLJ
NOSING INTO NRN IA/SRN MN...WITH ASCENT ALONG THE NOSE OF THIS JET
EXPECTED TO SUPPORT ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THIS MORNING.

09Z RUC SUGGESTS THIS LLJ WILL REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH TO SUPPORT AN
ELEVATED SEVERE THREAT THROUGH AT LEAST MID MORNING...INDICATING
POTENTIAL FOR A NEW WW SOUTH OF WW 586.

..PETERS.. 07/03/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD...

42609612 43769499 44469501 45059581 45749448 46409333
46389232 45839200 43989183 43099199 42739354 

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