[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 030932
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030932 
OKZ000-KSZ000-031130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1610
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0432 AM CDT SUN JUL 03 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH CENTRAL KS INTO NRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 030932Z - 031130Z

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KS THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS AS THIS ACTIVITY PROPAGATES SWD TOWARD NRN OK BEYOND 12Z.

REGIONAL RADARS SHOWED A SMALL CONVECTIVE COMPLEX CONTINUING TO
TRACK SSEWD ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTH CENTRAL KS...WITH THE STRONGEST
STORMS NOW LOCATED OVER PAWNEE AND STAFFORD COUNTIES.  THIS ACTIVITY
WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED EARLY THIS MORNING JUST NORTH OF AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING SWD IN ADVANCE OF THIS TSTM COMPLEX.  A 40
KT SSWLY LLJ WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT WAA FOR CONTINUED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE SRN PORTION OF THIS MCS AND SSEWD PROPAGATION
TOWARD NRN OK. COLD POOL FORMATION WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED STRONG
WIND GUSTS...WITH AN ADDITIONAL ISOLATED THREAT FOR HAIL MEETING
AND/OR BRIEFLY EXCEEDING SEVERE LEVELS.

LLJ IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BY MID MORNING RESULTING IN SUBSEQUENT
DECREASE IN INTENSITY AND OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL WITH THIS MCS.

..PETERS.. 07/03/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...

38289973 37939919 38279831 37599764 36639724 36249793
36169873 36509943 

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