[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 030145
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030145 
MNZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-030345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1604
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0845 PM CDT SAT JUL 02 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL ND AND NWRN MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 582...583...

VALID 030145Z - 030345Z

ENVIRONMENT ACROSS BOTH WATCHES 582 AND 583 REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR
SEVERE STORMS. A LONG-TRACK SUPERCELL WITH CONTINUING TORNADIC
POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE TRACKING EAST ALONG A WARM/STATIONARY
FRONTAL ALIGNED ALONG THE U.S./CANADA BORDER OVER ROLLETE COUNTY IN
NCNTRL ND. A NEARLY STATIONARY SUPERCELL WAS LIKELY PRODUCING SEVERE
WEATHER OVER KITTSON COUNTY IN NWRN MN IN WATCH 583.

ADDITIONAL STORMS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY INCREASING ALONG WIND
SHIFT/TROUGH LINE EXTENDING SWWD FROM THE SFC LOW TO NEAR DIK. LARGE
SCALE ASCENT WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE
NIGHT. INSTABILITY AND SHEAR ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR OVER CNTRL AND
ERN ND WILL REMAINING FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS.

..CARBIN.. 07/03/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...BIS...UNR...

48980309 45920319 45979890 47409877 47379453 48979457 

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