[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 012352
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012352 
TXZ000-020115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1585
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0652 PM CDT FRI JUL 01 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...TX S PLAINS / WRN N TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 012352Z - 020115Z

STORMS ARE DEVELOPING E OF WW 574.  NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED.

LATEST RADAR / SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS NEW CONVECTION DEVELOPING IN
MODERATELY-UNSTABLE AIRMASS ALONG REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING
FROM 50 ESE TCC /DEAF SMITH COUNTY TX/ TO NEAR ABI.  AS SELY
LOW-LEVEL FLOW INCREASES WITH TIME ACROSS THIS REGION BENEATH 30 KT
WNWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW...EXPECT THESE STORMS -- AND CONVECTION NOW
MOVING SEWD OUT OF ERN NM INTO W TX -- TO CONGEAL INTO A LARGE MCS. 
WITH SHEAR AND INSTABILITY SUFFICIENT FOR LONG-LIVED / SEVERE
STORMS...NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED.

..GOSS.. 07/01/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

34680228 34330002 33479881 31909811 31399904 32160221 

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