[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 012346
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012345 
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-020115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1584
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0645 PM CDT FRI JUL 01 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN CO / SWRN KS / TX AND OK PANHANDLES

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 012345Z - 020115Z

STORMS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE / SPREAD SEWD WITH TIME OUT OF SERN
CO INTO SWRN KS AND THE TX / OK PANHANDLES.  NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED.

MODERATELY-UNSTABLE AIRMASS /1000 TO 2000 J/KG/ EXTENDS ACROSS THIS
REGION ATTM..WITH SELY LOW-LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TO DRIVE ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT. ALONG WITH CONVECTION
SHIFTING SEWD OUT OF SERN CO...NEW STORMS ARE DEVELOPING ATTM ACROSS
THE OK PANHANDLE.  AS CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE WITH
TIME...MCS SHOULD EVOLVE / SHIFT SEWD TOWARD WRN OK.  ALONG WITH
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY...INCREASING SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW BENEATH
WNWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW NEAR 30 KT WILL RESULT IN FAVORABLE SHEAR FOR
SEVERE STORMS. THOUGH HAIL AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING...DAMAGING WINDS MAY BECOME THE
PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS AS MCS DEVELOPS.

..GOSS.. 07/01/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

38470384 38550146 38330020 36799992 34880008 34930288
36430319 

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