[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 010343
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010342 
TNZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-010515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1565
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1042 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SE KS/SW MO/NRN AR/FAR NE OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 568...

VALID 010342Z - 010515Z

VALID PORTION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 568 CONTINUES UNTIL 09Z.
PRIMARY HAZARD REMAINS LARGE HAIL...WITH ISOLD DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
POSSIBLE AS WELL.

STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS CURRENTLY ONGOING IMMEDIATELY N/NE OF OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY LOCATED FROM SE KS INTO NRN AR...WITH MOST ROBUST TSTMS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SHIFTING SEWD ALONG A EMPORIA KS-CHANUTE
KS-JOPLIN MO CORRIDOR INTO THE HARRISON AR-FAYETTEVILLE AR
VICINITIES THROUGH 06Z. LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN COMMON GIVEN STRONG
EFFECTIVE SHEAR NORTH OF BOUNDARY AND PRIMARILY ELEVATED INSTABILITY
-- MUCAPE 1500-2000 J/KG PER LATEST RUC SOUNDINGS. THREAT FOR ISOLD
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE AS WELL...FAVORING THE
AFOREMENTIONED CNU-JLN-FYV-HRO CORRIDOR GIVEN PROPAGATION OF
MESOSCALE COLD POOLS AMIDST RELATIVELY SHALLOWER SURFACE STABLE
LAYER.

..GUYER.. 07/01/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...

38509702 38649639 38349422 37689326 37329274 36599131
36848957 35668996 35349124 35759421 36659494 37169617
37599699 

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