[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 140856
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140856 
NCZ000-SCZ000-141000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0097
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0256 AM CST FRI JAN 14 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN NC AND EXTREME NCNTRL SC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 15...

VALID 140856Z - 141000Z

TORNADO/DAMAGING WIND THREATS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING FOR
CNTRL/ERN NC AND ANOTHER WW WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

ORIGINAL MESOLOW HAS MOVED INTO SCNTRL VA AT 08Z WITH INDICATIONS
THAT ANOTHER MAY BE DEVELOPING OVER NCNTRL SC/SCNTRL NC.  DOWNSTREAM
AIR MASS REMAINS SATURATED WITH 0-1KM SRH VALUES IN EXCESS OF 400
M2/S2. APPROACH OF THE MESOLOW WILL AUGMENT THE LOW LEVEL SHEAR. 
INSTABILITY IS MINIMAL...BUT KINEMATICS AND LOW LCLS WILL CONTRIBUTE
TO TORNADO AND/OR DAMAGING WIND THREAT THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS. THREATS WILL REMAIN CONDITIONAL...BUT RISKS ARE HIGH ENOUGH
TO CONSIDER ANOTHER WW.

..RACY.. 01/14/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...

34298001 36487917 36507701 34207800 

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