[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 081832
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081831 
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-082230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0050
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1231 PM CST SAT JAN 08 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN ME / MUCH OF NH AND MA

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 

VALID 081831Z - 082230Z

OCCASIONALLY HVY SNOW RATES AROUND 1 IN/HR WILL CONTINUE OVER NERN
MA AND SRN NH...AND WILL INCREASE FROM CENTRAL NH INTO SRN ME BY
21Z.

HRLY LIQUID RATES OF 0.10-0.20 IN HAVE BEEN COMMON THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS OVER SRN NEW ENGLAND...AND SHOULD PERSIST FOR SEVERAL MORE
HOURS AS LOW LEVEL LIFT CONTINUES. LITTLE CHANGE IN PRECIPITATION
TYPE IS EXPECTED AS COLUMN COOLS ONLY SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. 

FARTHER N...FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING WILL PERSIST AND WILL SATURATE
PROFILES...ALLOWING FOR OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW FALL FROM CENTRAL NH
INTO SRN ME.  LATEST RUC MODEL SHOWS FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING
INCREASING ABOVE 600 MB...COINCIDENT WITH MOST FAVORABLE TEMPERATURE
RANGE FOR DENDRITIC GROWTH. THUS A NEW AREA OF HVY SNOW MAY DEVELOP
OVER ERN NH INTO SRN ME THIS AFTERNOON.

..JEWELL.. 01/08/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A 
SCHEDULED BASIS...FOUR TIMES A DAY...BETWEEN 00-01 UTC...
06-07 UTC...12-13 UTC...AND 18-19 UTC AS SIGNIFICANT SHORT
RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS UNFOLD.  THIS SCHEDULE WILL BE
USED FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28.

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...

42327083 42217122 42137242 42567226 43837198 44277112
44546969 44226893 43886923 43497023 42917076 42627060 

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