[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 041305
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041305 
KSZ000-OKZ000-NEZ000-TXZ000-041800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0021
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0705 AM CST TUE JAN 04 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN NE / MUCH OF WRN AND SRN KS / NWRN OK /
EXTREME NERN TX PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN 

VALID 041305Z - 041800Z

WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS. FREEZING RAIN WITH SOME ACCUMULATION WILL FALL OVER NWRN OK
AND SOUTHERN KS...WITH HOURLY RATES AROUND 0.05 IN.  FARTHER
N...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL BE LIKELY INTO NWRN KS...CHANGING
TO A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND SNOW OVER SWRN NEBRASKA. 

ISENTROPIC LIFT NEAR 850 FRONT WILL PERSIST MUCH OF THE DAY...FROM
THE TX PANHANDLE ENEWD ACROSS NRN OK AND INTO SERN KS / SWRN MO. 12Z
DDC RAOB SHOWS VERY WARM TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 850-700 MB...WHICH
WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING EVEN WHEN SATURATED. FARTHER S...AMA AND
OUN RAOBS EXHIBIT CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY. THEREFORE...ALTHOUGH HRLY
PRECIPITATION RATES ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE AROUND 0.05
IN...OCCASIONAL HEAVY BURSTS OF 0.10-0.20 IN/HR ARE EXPECTED OVER
NWRN OK AND FAR SRN KS.  

FARTHER N INTO NWRN KS AND SWRN NEBRASKA...SLEET AND SNOW WILL BE
LIKELY...WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 0.50-1.00 IN/HR.

..JEWELL.. 01/04/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A 
SCHEDULED BASIS...FOUR TIMES A DAY...BETWEEN 00-01 UTC...
06-07 UTC...12-13 UTC...AND 18-19 UTC AS SIGNIFICANT SHORT
RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS UNFOLD.  THIS SCHEDULE WILL BE
USED FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28.

ATTN...WFO...SGF...ICT...OUN...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...AMA...

36530119 36220057 35910005 35799969 35799907 35919859
36399824 36789779 37259692 37419559 37689497 37849597
38099650 38529717 39119863 40439938 41299958 41630048
41380187 40980188 40050188 38330189 36730153 

WWWW