[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 030019
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030019 
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-030545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0012
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0619 PM CST SUN JAN 02 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN NY...VT/NH...MUCH OF ME...NCENTRAL MA

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION 

VALID 030019Z - 030545Z

SLEET OVER PORTIONS OF NRN NH/SRN ME WILL CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING
RAIN THROUGH 06Z...WITH FREEZING RAIN CHANGING OVER TO RAIN OVER
PORTIONS OF VT...SRN NH AND FAR NCENTRAL MA. HRLY ACCUMULATIONS WILL
RANGE FROM 0.05 TO 0.10 IN/HR IN THE HEAVIEST PRECIP BANDS THROUGH
06Z. FARTHER NORTH OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/ERN ME...EXPECT SNOW TO
CHANGE OVER SLEET BETWEEN 03-06Z WITH SIMILAR LIQUID EQUIVALENT
ACCUMULATION RATES.

SECONDARY ISENTROPICALLY GENERATED PRECIPITATION BAND IN THE RIGHT
ENTRANCE REGION OF ERN QUEBEC UPPER JET MAX WILL AID IN PROGRESSIVE
MVMNT OF A LARGE AREA OF LIGHT TO MDT PRECIPITATION ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND THROUGH 06Z. CONTINUED WAA IN THE 900-800 MB LAYER WILL AID
IN A CHANGE OF PTYPE OVER MUCH OF NRN NH/SRN ME FROM SLEET TO
FREEZING RAIN THROUGH 03Z...WITH SNOW CHANGING TO SLEET NORTH OF
THIS REGION ACROSS ERN/CENTRAL ME. AS THE LOW LEVELS CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY WARM OVER THE WRN PORTIONS OF THE REGION AHEAD OF A SFC COLD
FRONT...EXPECT FREEZING RAIN TO CHANGE OVER TO RAIN ACROSS THE
REMAINDER CHAMPLAIN VALLEY OF NERN NY/NWRN VT THROUGH 02Z AND OVER
SRN VT/SRN NH AND NCENTRAL MA BETWEEN 02-05Z.

..CROSBIE.. 01/03/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A 
SCHEDULED BASIS...FOUR TIMES A DAY...BETWEEN 00-01 UTC...
06-07 UTC...12-13 UTC...AND 18-19 UTC AS SIGNIFICANT SHORT
RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS UNFOLD.  THIS SCHEDULE WILL BE
USED FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28.

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...

42847078 42517207 42737278 43567337 44077394 44607394
44957358 45227110 46277005 46086762 44786718 43617012 

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