[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 151923
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151923 
MIZ000-152300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2573
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0123 PM CST THU DEC 15 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NE LOWER MI

CONCERNING...PRECIPITATION TRENDS...WINTER PRECIPITATION 

VALID 151923Z - 152300Z

OCNLY MODERATE SNOW WILL DEVELOP/SPREAD FROM THE THUMB AREA INTO NE
LOWER MI THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. RATES COULD REACH 1 IN/HR WITHIN THE
HEAVIER BANDS FOR A FEW HOURS DURATION BETWEEN 20Z-00Z.

VOLUMETRIC RADAR TRENDS SUGGESTS AREAS OF MODERATE SNOW...ONGOING
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SE LOWER MI...SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPREAD
N/NE INTO THE NE PORTION OF LOWER MI REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.
SIMILAR TO OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS...SHORT-TERM RUC/4KM WRF GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS THIS WILL GENERALLY OCCUR IN AREAS ALONG/EAST OF INTERSTATE
75. ATTRIBUTABLE TO AMPLE UVVS/SATURATED FAVORABLE DENDRITIC GROWTH
ZONE PER 18Z RUC SOUNDINGS...SNOW RATES COULD LOCALLY REACH 1 IN/HR
FOR A COUPLE HOURS DURATION.

..GUYER.. 12/15/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...

45528411 45258321 44588303 43998290 43488319 43498410
43758437 44668453 

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