[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions MCD at goshenarc.org
Thu Dec 8 01:23:36 UTC 2005


ACUS11 KWNS 080121
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080121 
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-080515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2544
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0721 PM CST WED DEC 07 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS/FAR NE OK/WRN MO

CONCERNING...PRECIPITATION TRENDS...WINTER PRECIPITATION 

VALID 080121Z - 080515Z

AREA OF LIGHT/OCNLY MDT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSITION EWD ACROSS
E KS/FAR NE OK INTO WRN MO THIS EVENING. RATES MAY REACH 1 IN/HR ON
A LOCALIZED BASIS.

DEEP ASCENT CONTINUES TO SPREAD EWD ALONG THE MISSOURI VALLEY AMIDST
STRONG DIFFERENTIAL CVA/ISENTROPIC LIFT REGIME AHEAD OF WRN NEB/WRN
KS CLOSED LOW. LIGHT/OCNLY MDT SNOW HAS PERSISTED MUCH OF THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS ERN KS INTO THE KC METRO AREA...WITH SOMEWHAT
CONCENTRATED BAND OF RELATIVELY HEAVIER SNOWFALL ONGOING EARLY THIS
EVENING FROM ALONG/EAST OF THE KS TURNPIKE INTO THE KC METRO AREA.
00Z TOPEKA RAOB/21Z RUC BASED FCST SOUNDINGS FEATURE DEEPLY
SATURATED THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES...WITH AMPLE UVVS COINCIDENT WITH
RELATIVELY DEEP/FAVORABLE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE. COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS
WILL PROMOTE SNOW TO LIQUID WATER RATIOS OF 15:1 OR PERHAPS 20:1.

..GUYER.. 12/08/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...OAX...TOP...ICT...

38659636 39249616 40299522 40309462 40079344 39179359
37699438 36839476 36529501 36559615 38179647 

WWWW





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