[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Dec 5 20:42:48 UTC 2005

ACUS11 KWNS 052040
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052039 
GAZ000-FLZ000-052215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2537
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0239 PM CST MON DEC 05 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN GA/NRN FL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 893...

VALID 052039Z - 052215Z

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WIND DAMAGE REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS NRN FL AND
SRN GA.

AT 20Z...REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED THE STRONGEST STORMS WITH
ROTATION WERE LOCATED OVER SRN GA IN CLINCH COUNTY...OVER LOWNDES
COUNTY GA AND OFFSHORE OVER THE NERN GULF /60 W CTY/.  THESE
DISCRETE STORMS ARE MOVING NEWD AT 25-30 KT AND ARE LOCATED JUST
EAST OF A LOW-TOPPED LEWP WHICH EXTENDED FROM SOUTH CENTRAL GA TO
THE ERN FL PANHANDLE...JUST E OF TLH.

LACK OF LIGHTNING WITH THE LEWP SUGGESTS THE STRONGEST STORMS WITH
GREATEST SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN WITH THE DISCRETE ACTIVITY
MOVING NEWD THROUGH THE MOISTURE/WEAK INSTABILITY AXIS OVER NWRN FL
INTO SRN GA.  DESPITE THE WEAK INSTABILITY...DEEP LAYER AND
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A THREAT FOR
ISOLATED TORNADOES AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS.  

A FEW STORMS MAY REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH TO RESULT IN A TORNADO THREAT
EAST OF WW 893 INTO SERN GA/NERN FL.  HOWEVER...GIVEN THE SMALL
AREAL COVERAGE AND LIMITED THREAT...A NEW WW DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY
AT THIS TIME.

..PETERS.. 12/05/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...TBW...JAX...FFC...TAE...

29668497 30608375 31948306 32208239 31838181 30998160
30278172 29598232 29158321 

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