[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions MCD at goshenarc.org
Thu Dec 1 06:32:22 UTC 2005


ACUS11 KWNS 010630
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010629 
IDZ000-NVZ000-ORZ000-011130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2514
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1229 AM CST THU DEC 01 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN ID / SERN OREGON / FAR NRN NV

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 

VALID 010629Z - 011130Z

SNOW IS LIKELY TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH THE
NIGHT FROM SERN OREGON ACROSS NRN NV AND INTO SWRN ID. SNOW RATES
NEAR 1 IN/HR WILL BE POSSIBLE.

THERMAL GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN A BIT ACROSS OREGON...NRN 
NEVADA...SRN IDAHO AND NRN UT AS WARM ADVECTION PERSISTS. RESULTING
FRONTOGENETIC FORCING AND INCREASE IN PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES IS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE PRECIPITATION RATES ACROSS THE AREA. RUC AND
NAM SOLUTIONS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT SUGGESTING HEAVIEST SNOW RATES
MAY OCCUR OVER SWRN ID AND FAR NRN NV. FURTHER...THERMODYNAMIC
PROFILES WILL FAVOR DENDRITIC AND AGGREGATE GROWTH.

..JEWELL.. 12/01/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PIH...BOI...LKN...

41381454 41111603 41451793 41901888 42801848 42961763
43251681 42441469 42021415 

WWWW





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