[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 310003
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 310002 
VAZ000-NCZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-310100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2122
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0702 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS CENTRAL/SRN WV...WRN VA...WRN/NRN
NC...EXTREME ERN KY.

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 760...761...

VALID 310002Z - 310100Z

PRIND WWS 760/761 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED.  TORNADO
POTENTIAL WILL NOT BE GONE ALTOGETHER BY 01Z...BUT WILL DIMINISH
CONSIDERABLY OVER THIS REGION THROUGH REMAINDER EVENING AS
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND LESSEN IN COVERAGE. VERTICAL
SHEAR PROFILES WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS FROM THIS AREA
NWD OVER NRN WV AND WRN PA...AS CENTRAL REMAINS OF FORMER HURRICANE
KATRINA SHIFT NEWD OVER OH TONIGHT.  HOWEVER BUOYANCY HAS DECREASED
ENOUGH TO SUPPORT ONLY VERY ISOLATED/BRIEF CONVECTION DEEP ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN WITH GRADUAL
LOSS OF SFC DIABATIC HEATING.

AREAS E OF WW 760 ACROSS CENTRAL NC AND SERN VA WILL MAINTAIN MORE
FAVORABLE CAPE...BUT ALSO WILL REMAIN IN TRANSITION ZONE TO SMALLER
0-1 KM SRH AMIDST LARGELY LINEAR CONVECTIVE MODE.  WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR.

..EDWARDS.. 08/31/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...

35508021 35638071 35758119 35918126 36398103 36748097
36988110 37098122 36848223 38958182 38988093 38087958
37527861 36887851 35937917 34848010 35328008 

WWWW