[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 281943
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281942 
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-282145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2100
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0242 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...KS...NRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 281942Z - 282145Z

A NUMBER OF WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED
ACROSS THE PARTS OF KS AND NRN MO THIS AFTERNOON. IF COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY OF THIS CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE A WATCH MAY BE
NEEDED.

DIFFLUENT AND INCREASING NWLY MID LEVEL FLOW WAS SPREADING SEWD ATOP
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS FROM WCNTRL KS TO NRN MO THIS
AFTERNOON. POCKETS OF MLCAPE IN EXCESS OF 1500 J/KG AND WEAK
CONVERGENCE ALONG ILL-FORMED SURFACE FEATURES WILL CONTINUE TO
RESULT IN SCATTERED PULSE OR WEAKLY ORGANIZED MULTICELL STORMS WITH
HAIL AND ISOLATED DOWNBURSTS. THE BULK OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY
POSE ONLY A BRIEF SEVERE THREAT BEFORE COLLAPSING. HOWEVER...A WATCH
MAY BE NEEDED IF IT APPEARS THAT STORM CLUSTER MERGES BEGIN TO POSE
A GREATER THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER OVER A LARGER REGION.

..CARBIN.. 08/28/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

37889657 37439868 37419949 38070004 39559768 40189427
40479175 39729172 39139383 

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