[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 280304
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280304 
KSZ000-NEZ000-280400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2097
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1004 PM CDT SAT AUG 27 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SRN NEB...NRN/WRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 749...

VALID 280304Z - 280400Z

REMAINDER WW WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 4Z. 
MULTICELL CLUSTER INVOF GRI SHOULD CONTINUE WEAKENING AS ITS OUTFLOW
SURGES FARTHER S-SW FROM STRONGEST REFLECTIVITY CORES. ACTIVITY
OVER KS/NEB BORDER S MCK HAS YIELDED REPORTS OF HAIL UP TO 1.75 INCH
DIAMETER DURING PAST HOUR.  ANOTHER STRONG-SEVERE MULTICELL CLUSTER
JUST E OF CO BORDER...S GLD...MAY PRODUCE SEVERE HAIL FOR ANOTHER
HOUR OR SO AS WELL.

ISOLATED/INTERMITTENT SEVERE POTENTIAL MAY PERSIST FOR ANOTHER 1-2
HOURS WITH THESE CLUSTERS...PRIMARILY IN FORM OF HAIL. EXPECT
CONTINUED COOLING AND DEEPENING OF STABLE NEAR-SFC LAYER -- BOTH
FROM OUTFLOWS AND FROM DIABATIC HEAT LOSS.  THIS SHOULD RESULT IN
WEAKER OUTFLOW CURRENTS...AND SMALLER POTENTIAL FOR OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES TO FORCE SFC BASED PARCELS TO LFC.  ELEVATED MUCAPES
AROUND 2000-2500 J/KG SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH REMAINDER OF
TONIGHT.

..EDWARDS.. 08/28/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GID...DDC...GLD...

39810089 40389979 41099810 41209766 40969732 40419722
39989733 39919875 39889952 38969991 38160026 37750065
38180115 38360139 38750173 39080195